Average of polls:
(Graphic by ECFR)
As you can see, the centre right party Partido Popular (EPP) is leading the polls without reaching the majority needed to govern (176 seats).
- PP will need to form a coalition which could be with the centrist Albert Rivera’s Ciudadanos party (Rivera already ruled out any support to Mariano Rajoy’s party).
- Socialist Party (PSOE, PES), in the second place, will try to form a coalition with Ciudadanos. But also in this case Albert Rivera, leader of Ciudadanos, ruled out this possibility.
- PSOE will form a coalition with Podemos. Even this possibility is unlikely because Pablo Iglesias, leader of Podemos, excluded any help to PSOE.
To be noted: the majority of Ciudadanos voters are coming from Partido Poular. There is a possibility that centre-right voters will come back to PP if a possible extreme left coalition would become a real option.